Cash flow pressures continue to impact Aussie businesses
What happened
CreditorWatch's April Business Risk Index shows Australian businesses face a three-way squeeze from inflation/energy costs, higher interest rates, and weak demand. The result is rising input costs and a marked increase in insolvency and payment-risk for firms exposed to discretionary spending and subcontractor chains. Procurement should watch supplier payment terms and contingency readiness over the coming months
Buyer takeaway
Treat this as a real supplier-stress signal: expect tighter payment terms and higher short-term pricing pressure from vendors seeking to protect cashflow
Cost / money
Directional upward pressure on vendor fees and potential requirement for payment-security measures; buyers may face tougher commercial terms
Supplier / commercial
Suppliers may shorten quote validity and seek advance payments or milestone-based billing to reduce cashflow exposure
Safety / operations
Supplier financial stress increases continuity risk for advisory engagements tied to small or specialist firms
What to watch
Monitor client-facing suppliers for changes to payment terms, escalation of mobilisation charges, or requests for milestone prepayments
Key facts
- CreditorWatch April Business Risk Index highlights three-way squeeze
- Input costs lifted by energy and interest-rate pressure
- Higher insolvency risk concentrated in discretionary and subcontractor-dependent sectors
Source excerpts
The April Business Risk Index results from CreditorWatch show Australian businesses are being hit by a three-way squeeze: inflation and energy costs, higher interest rates, and weak consumer demand. Inflation and energy costs lifting operating expenses The Reserve Bank of Australia's May Statement on Monetary Policy indicates inflation remains above target, with higher fuel prices adding to inflation
Data indicate that the pressure is uneven, with the rolling annual insolvency rates varying notably across industries, particularly in sectors exposed to discretionary spending, labour costs, fuel, materials, subcontractor risk, and supply-chain disruption
There is a considerably higher risk of insolvency over the next 12 months for companies with large ATO debts